The average betting story going into the US Open is the same as before the Masters and the PGA Championship: Scottie Scheffler is the overwhelming favorite and sees some of the shortest odds since the premier Tiger Woods.
The 27-year-old opened the week at +300 at ESPN BET and has been tipped at +290; across the market, as short as +250. Shortest odds for any golfer to win the US Open since Woods in 2007 (+250).
Despite the very short chances, Scheffler is still attracting a very healthy number of tickets and additional holdings.
Sportsbooks across the American betting scene report that Scheffler is their betting and money leader, ESPN BET says he has 13.1% of the tickets and 31.7% of the handle. BetMGM reports an impressive 44.7% odds on the Texas native, while Fanatics Sportsbook says he drew triple odds to win at Pinehurst No. 2 than any other golfer on the course.
“I’m surprised by that because it’s such a short value. In golf, you try to look for someone with a decent value, but bettors just feel like he’s out of reach,” DraftKings director of racing and sportsbooks Johnny Avello said. ESPN. He adds that Scheffler’s “real odds” are close to +500, but even with built-in juice to get a price below +300, bettors continue to bet on him.
“The numbers are part of his recent form and incredible popularity with bettors, which is reflected in the number of bets we’ve placed on him so far,” ESPN BET head of sports Patrick Jay told ESPN via email. “He’s been the biggest bettor this year, and the US Open hasn’t changed.”
From a betting perspective, the only possible comparison to Scheffler’s incredible form is Woods. From 2000 to 2009, Woods was rated +300 or less seven times at the US Open, peaking at +120 in 2001 – a tournament in which he finished T-12, though he ended up winning three majors . during that decade.
But the longer Scheffler’s reign goes on, the more impressive and more appropriate the comparison to Woods becomes.
“I never thought we’d get to this point again where there’s one guy who has a short problem with this type of golf course, but Scottie is now,” Avello said.
Scheffler’s popularity complicates his sportsbook credit. While his short odds indicate he won’t be a problem in the books like, Bryson DeChambeau or Collin Morikawa (both 14-1 on ESPN BET), the sheer volume and enthusiasm surrounding Scheffler still makes him a threat. .
“He’s a big credit because we’ve had a market that’s been open all year, probably open between 10 and 12-1. So since he’s been winning consistently, guess what? They’re betting anything and everything they can with what’s available to him,” golf trader Caesars u -Anthony Salleroli told ESPN. “So that year-round exposure created a debt and just a wave of tickets.”
Still, Scheffler isn’t the biggest concern of sports books. That honor belongs to who else, Woods, who is 200-1 or better yet has attracted significant action to win the tournament, with FanDuel reporting that he has a 4% odds of winning the tournament. He is also one of the favorites in the “Make/Miss the Cut” market at ESPN BET, with 80% backing him to make the cut at +220.
“Tiger when he was growing up was unlike anything else we’ve seen in sports,” said Jay. “Scottie has been in great form and he’s No. 1 in the world right now, but he’s got a long way to go before he can get into that place of continued dominance and a short negative event after the event.”
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